{"id":1678,"date":"2010-08-12T10:16:00","date_gmt":"2010-08-12T09:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/portstrategy.nfdtesting.uk\/greenport-congress\/2010\/08\/12\/volume-predictions-less-science-more-art\/"},"modified":"2026-08-27T13:32:07","modified_gmt":"2026-08-27T12:32:07","slug":"volume-predictions-less-science-more-art","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/news\/middle-east\/volume-predictions-less-science-more-art\/","title":{"rendered":"Volume predictions \u2018less science, more art\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mr Hambleton told PS that a picture of \u2018simple, upward growth\u2019 extrapolated from the past is not going to return easily, as port operations are going to continue to be impacted by market variations and increasingly influenced by factors such as route deviations, vessel capacities and a greater inter-liner consolidation. This means that so called \u2018captive\u2019 local markets will have a bigger part in keeping a terminal\u2019s operations as stable as possible.<\/p>\n<p>SCCT itself is discussing with the Ministry of Transport, the Egyptian National Railway and other stakeholders, taking advantage of the Egyptian market with the aim of running trains on an existing \u2013 although at present unused \u2013 rail line between Port Said and Cairo. The link has languished partly because of a significant subsidy on truck haulage that \u2013 so far &#8211; has helped to beat the rail out of the competition.<\/p>\n<p>He added while regional volumes have been vulnerable to economic shifts, SCCT is steadily gaining market share: recently SCCT has won services of the UASC from its competition. Further, the terminal posted a very healthy 11% rise in throughput during the worst of the downturn when all around were counting losses.<\/p>\n<p>The terminal, says Robert Hambleton, is looking to consolidate its gain on all three fronts \u2013 traditional transhipment, the local Egyptian market, and relay shipments.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, he has reason to believe that relay shipments are gaining in popularity as lines grow closer together. He points out that the bigger ships will keep coming, and the downturn opened the doors to route consolidation, greater vessel sharing and closer cooperation between lines, giving a much more varied picture. One of SCCT\u2019s recent route gains was from an eight vessel service (two from each line) made up of the United Arab Shipping Company, China Shipping , Hanjin and Hyundai \u2013 a mixed handful drawn from across different alliances.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Volume forecasts are becoming \u2018less of a science and more of an art\u2019, says Robert Hambleton, chief operating officer of the Suez Canal Container Terminal (SCCT) with the implication that local markets will play an increasingly important role.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":1679,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"sponsor":[],"class_list":["post-1678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-middle-east"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1678","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1678"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1678\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1680,"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1678\/revisions\/1680"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1679"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1678"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1678"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1678"},{"taxonomy":"sponsor","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portstrategy.com\/greenport-congress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sponsor?post=1678"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}